Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.163659 0.175171 0.187209 0.200761 0.215619 0.231445 0.249618
2026-02-08 0.142258 0.158784 0.177042 0.198815 0.224212 0.253067 0.288571
2026-02-15 0.130378 0.149553 0.171519 0.198752 0.231901 0.271322 0.322323
2026-02-22 0.119617 0.140078 0.164173 0.194960 0.233718 0.281529 0.345985
2026-03-01 0.112353 0.133931 0.159955 0.194096 0.238380 0.294844 0.373898
2026-03-08 0.107158 0.129786 0.157668 0.195137 0.245096 0.310793 0.406141
2026-03-15 0.101017 0.123968 0.152759 0.192238 0.246123 0.318891 0.427868
2026-03-22 0.096231 0.119542 0.149274 0.190824 0.248805 0.329124 0.453135
2026-03-29 0.093564 0.117670 0.148939 0.193492 0.257108 0.347612 0.491944
2026-04-05 0.089549 0.113769 0.145627 0.191760 0.258915 0.356643 0.516903
2026-04-12 0.085896 0.110155 0.142479 0.189999 0.260440 0.365180 0.541606
2026-04-19 0.082163 0.106248 0.138713 0.187090 0.259988 0.370527 0.561384
2026-04-26 0.080764 0.105530 0.139397 0.190735 0.269723 0.392553 0.611558
2026-05-03 0.077700 0.102355 0.136454 0.188846 0.270806 0.400866 0.638917
2026-05-10 0.075423 0.100181 0.134822 0.188790 0.274680 0.413891 0.675845
2026-05-17 0.072290 0.096651 0.131052 0.185243 0.272690 0.416877 0.694426
2026-05-24 0.070141 0.094454 0.129134 0.184435 0.275053 0.427362 0.728160
2026-05-31 0.068619 0.093102 0.128396 0.185409 0.280370 0.443300 0.774165
2026-06-07 0.066209 0.090353 0.125443 0.182696 0.279280 0.447693 0.797339
2026-06-14 0.064298 0.088275 0.123422 0.181372 0.280454 0.456219 0.829897
2026-06-21 0.063453 0.087754 0.123750 0.183870 0.288376 0.477768 0.892627
2026-06-28 0.061648 0.085721 0.121655 0.182249 0.288896 0.485314 0.925500
2026-07-05 0.059929 0.083764 0.119605 0.180601 0.289251 0.492523 0.958397